This statistic might be incorrect. A full ring game of 10 max with just 5 players playing would have a higher seeing the flop statistic than a 10 max. If three people suddenly joined the table, the players seeing the flop statistic would be too high for 8 players but correct for 5 players.
When choosing for table to play on, see if the balance of some of the players are the exact buy-amounts, and if they are - downgrade the loose statistic a bit. Another thing to look for is the "sitting out" that flashes above eacch player before each game.
A plus of this type of incorrect statistic is that the new players joining the table, thinking that the table is loose, will play loose. So, downgrading the loose statistic should be a compromise and not a drastic action. Do these downgrades: slightly loose to tight, loose to slightly loose, and very loose to loose.
Wednesday, March 30, 2011
Monday, March 21, 2011
Agro Game past Midnight
After midnight, the games are not plentifull but still profitable by playing a little tighter and having some patience. The King joined a full, ring game that was loose and passive with 80% seeing the flop and with an average pot size of 22¢. After the button went around once or twice the game was 60% seeing the flop and with an average pot size of 37¢. After 45 minutes of playing, the King particapated in just one pot and did not win it - the luck was running against him. The next hand was a big one.
There were ten players with the King at the cutoff. His hole cards were J♦ 8♦ which is barely playable but has the potential to win a pot with a flush or straight. A flush with a jack as the high card is good as long as there are just threee cards on the board.
Two players limped from the early position, a middle position player raised and the next player called. The King called not expecting a reraise as this game was a bit aggressive and moderately aggressive. The button, big blind and the two limpers called (14.5 bets).
The flop is 7♥ 5♥ 4♦ giving the King a gutshot straight draw, backdoor flush draw and an overcard. There is a two flush on board so the King's outs had to be discounted. The big blind bet, the first limper raised and the second limper called 19.5 bets. The King quickly decided that his five outer had an overlay and called the bet expecting a couple callers and no reraise. The button folded and the big blind called (23.5 bets).
The turn was 3♦, so the Kings had J♦ 8♦ and the board was now 7♥ 5♥ 4♦ 3♦. A six would make a straight, any diamond a flush and a jack a pair. The big blind bet, seat one raised and seat two reraised, the King was surprised at the aggressiveness of the table and having to call the reraise or fold. With the pot at 17 big bets, the Kings called expecting anything a flush draw, set, two pair or even a made hand of a straight although this was not likely that someone had a six. The big blind folded and seat one called (22 big bets).
The river was the A♦, giving the King the third nut flush. Seat one bet, seat two called and the King called instead of raising feeling a bit astounded at the agresiveness of the betting. The Kings won the pot with a flush. The betting was heavy because seat one had a set (three sevens) and seat two had a six for a straight. The King won a big pot to make up for the bad luck for the previous 45 minutes.
There were ten players with the King at the cutoff. His hole cards were J♦ 8♦ which is barely playable but has the potential to win a pot with a flush or straight. A flush with a jack as the high card is good as long as there are just threee cards on the board.
Two players limped from the early position, a middle position player raised and the next player called. The King called not expecting a reraise as this game was a bit aggressive and moderately aggressive. The button, big blind and the two limpers called (14.5 bets).
The flop is 7♥ 5♥ 4♦ giving the King a gutshot straight draw, backdoor flush draw and an overcard. There is a two flush on board so the King's outs had to be discounted. The big blind bet, the first limper raised and the second limper called 19.5 bets. The King quickly decided that his five outer had an overlay and called the bet expecting a couple callers and no reraise. The button folded and the big blind called (23.5 bets).
The turn was 3♦, so the Kings had J♦ 8♦ and the board was now 7♥ 5♥ 4♦ 3♦. A six would make a straight, any diamond a flush and a jack a pair. The big blind bet, seat one raised and seat two reraised, the King was surprised at the aggressiveness of the table and having to call the reraise or fold. With the pot at 17 big bets, the Kings called expecting anything a flush draw, set, two pair or even a made hand of a straight although this was not likely that someone had a six. The big blind folded and seat one called (22 big bets).
The river was the A♦, giving the King the third nut flush. Seat one bet, seat two called and the King called instead of raising feeling a bit astounded at the agresiveness of the betting. The Kings won the pot with a flush. The betting was heavy because seat one had a set (three sevens) and seat two had a six for a straight. The King won a big pot to make up for the bad luck for the previous 45 minutes.
Thursday, March 17, 2011
Playing at Limits above Penny Poker
The games are tighter and doesn't seem beatable. However, the statistics show that tighter games have tighter player standards, so the King's percentage of hands seeing the flop of about 22% seems reasonable for winning in games where, on average, the players see the flop 30 to 50% of the time.
With so few players, playing overcards comes into play more. It seems like if overcards are not played, winning would not be possible or just barely profitable. Playing overcards and marginal hands at least is action and helps in getting action later with better hands. Still, playing overcards is not fun.
There is more to hold 'em than starting hands standards.
With so few players, playing overcards comes into play more. It seems like if overcards are not played, winning would not be possible or just barely profitable. Playing overcards and marginal hands at least is action and helps in getting action later with better hands. Still, playing overcards is not fun.
There is more to hold 'em than starting hands standards.
Sunday, March 6, 2011
How to Play at the Low Limits
The percentage of seeing the flop is an important statistic and PokerStars has this statistic. The percentage of players playing beyond the flop is not listed by PokerStars, so this is a statistic that the King has to have either thru Poker Tracker, thru observation or possibly by pot size. As the limits go higher, the percentage of players seeing the flop decreases, however there is quite a variability in the pot size. Malmuth in Poker Essays recommneds to the reader to play in games with medium size pots. Small pots has more folding and big pots must have players going to the river or must have aggressive players who raise often. It would be time well spent to handicap a table before jumping in.
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